Eff's Rambles (Archive)

9/16/2003

Agreeing with the "liberal" court

As some of you know, there is a recall vote for the California state governor, Gray Davis, with a now uncertain date.
For a while I was hardly interested, then Schwarzenegger came in and I became more curious. Without his candidacy,
I might not have ever developed much interest. Mostly, I was curious about Mr. Ambiguous's politics. I do not know if anyone is sure what they are yet. Arnold's campaign has been perplexing at times, but I largely digress.

The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals has delayed the recall, a delay which may be overturned. One good reason is that it supposedly violates the state's constitutional mandate of a sixty to eighty day deadline for voting after a recall has been given the go ahead.
Other arguments supporting overturning the appeals court include: The current voting system was good enough to elect Davis; the recall is the people's will; some forty percent of registered Democrats support recall; and, strongest of all, it violates the state's constitution to delay it. All are fair arguments.

But, whatever the "motives" of the court are, I think the delay is better for the people of California.
I think this because of the following reasons, more time for consideration,
and more time increases the need for candidates to have to campain on their merits.

Arnold could have to more frequently answer unprepared for questions.

Cruz Bustamante would have more time to show how he differentiates from Gray Davis.

Other candidates would get more time.

Democrats in the moderate region would have more time to see if Arnold is a good exception to voting with their party.

Liberal Democrats would have more time to organize support for Davis or Bustamante or some other Democrat.

Conservatives in both parties would have more time to consider whether or not Arnold is a close enough candidate to
their preference.

The above groups would have more time to consider Tom McClintock for Governor.

Some might say that the voters should have to live with whatever negative effects may come from the recall.
They have a point. To get mired in referendums and recalls is to be dysfunctional, or at least appear that way.

But I am cutting the people of California a break.
Hopefully, a delay would give all parties more understanding of the candidates and yield the best governor among
their choices for them.

As for me, I support her. Yes, because she is cute. Superficial, am I not?

9/09/2003

Gambling

It was within a few days, I had recently read a column I had been procrastinating on for a month. The column was, I think, pro Isreali and kind of cynical in tone, if I remember correctly. Well, in the column the author brought up the idea that never went anywhere of using the stock market to predict terrorist events in the future. Politically, it was a rather bad idea. One thing it supposedly had was a bet on how much longer the king of Jordan would remain in power. The author wondered about whether or not money could be made off Palestinian's propensity to destroy themselves, or something like that.

As I said, it was within a few days. And that was when I started to hear of, or was reminded of, I guess the latter, Abu Mazen's no confidence hearing. I think most people would agree that he would not have won a vote of confidence, at least not a sincere one. Surely, the popular will would not have changed much, if any. I mention the betting idea and Mazen because I was surprised by something. Not long after reading the column and hearing of the the no confidence hearing, I remarked to a few people that Mazen would quit and, sarcastically, move to Beirut or Belgium (among other places) after a short period of time, join the talk circuit or get some job in media or academics. I also said he might join up with Mohammed al-Douri. He quit barely a day or two after my partially sarcastic comment. I doubt I was the only one to have predicted it.

Some spokesman is being considered for the PM position. I've heard he does not want Arafat to be treated as if he's an irrelevancy. And that is not what the Bush administration wants to hear. He is supposedly a moderate like Mazen.

What I find interesting is the notion of whether or not this is a failure, not of the "road map," but of the, as best I understand it, domino effect theory of defeating Saddam Hussein. Whether it "worked" in getting the "road map" pushed through is best answered by historians and biographers. But what was gained, due to whatever reason(s), now looks to be lost. I am not so negative that I think nothing can be salvaged, but things do not look good.


 

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